Israel threats and PeaceMatrix™ development update 7.4.2024 (updated 7.11.2024)
Game-changer strategy for Israel’s wars, preventing WW3, fixing the anti-Semitic U.N., a new Jewish world peace-building system in Jerusalem, forming mastermind group, in honor of release of Volume II
Here is my most recent analysis of the current situation in Gaza, broader threats against Israel and allies, and what Israel might need going forward. Apologies for the length. I have another work in development with solution scenarios based on these theories, and plan to release it for founding members when I can develop it.
In the Story of Purim, Esther messaged Mordechai to “Gather all the Jews.” We must come together, both for Israel’s survival, and for our duty to be a light unto all the nations…whether the nations want to see that light or not. Our survival and our light may be one and the same.
I’m developing completely new, outside-the-box theories and strategies for destroying terrorist groups and anti-semitism globally on the ideological level, for winning Israel’s current and future wars, for developing the future framework of Israeli, U.S., and global security, and I’m seeking and inviting the best minds to join in their development.
After the failures of the Yom Kippur war, Israel’s Agranat Commission led to the “tenth man” rule, or Revision department, requiring differing opinions, to be able to think “outside-the-box” and challenge conventional thinking. Our intelligence and analysis systems produce an abundance of facts from those with experience, but they can all be misguided without key understandings. As the U.S. 9/11 Commission cited that attack’s cause as a “failure of imagination”, emerging threats require better Israeli and American security perspectives, imagination, and forward-looking creative solution development. Now we have such a bureaucratic, political, and money driven system, that not only are people not looking for the best ideas, but you’d have a hard time even paying to get the best ideas heard. And the U.S.’s security likewise hinges on someone like Trump being able to save America from failed and or unnecessary wars in Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, and Ukraine and elsewhere against enemies and phenomenon the U.S. does not understand.
If Israel would have already handily won this Gaza war like in ’67 or even ’73, I wouldn’t be writing to you now. But Israel’s best decision-makers appear to fundamentally misunderstand this war, the enemy, and how to address them. As our enemies appear to understand this war better than Israel, and are able to cut off our strategic solutions before Israel can utilize them, there is a perspective we are missing. If there is a hostage deal, it is a temporary fix, kicking the can down the road with Israel’s long-term problems continuing to grow. The contrarian question we must consider is, “What if reliance on the United States, and targeted assassinations of terrorists, and Israel’s military might prove insufficient long-term to protect Israeli and global security?” And for the U.S., what if a hostile ideology we do not understand continues to divide this nation for ultimate conquest?
The word for Hebrew comes from “ivri” after Abraham “Ha Ivri”, which means from the other side of the Euphrates. By its Midrash meaning, ivri means the courage to stand apart and dare be different. https://www.chabad.org/library/article_cdo/aid/5802851/jewish/Hebrew-Ivri.htm Israel as a single nation, compared to her enemies, and the nature of anti-Semitism, disallows fighting of conventional wars, as we are outnumbered and outsized a hundred-fold. So, we must be different to survive.
Jews fight with our minds, with God’s help and wisdom. We should be so brilliant and outside-the-box in our strategy, that our would-be enemies fear us, and there is peace and prosperity for all.
The problems, from Israel’s perspective:
Understanding the Gaza / Hamas war:
As soon as Israel stops fighting in Gaza, Hamas will declare victory, reconstitute like the Taliban did, and recruit 10,000 new members in months. That’s why Israel isn’t stopping, and why Hamas believes it is winning. The day after, international funds, weapons, and demands will pour in. Israel has been fighting Hamas and Hezbollah for over 35 years, and all the U.S. firepower couldn’t defeat the Taliban in 20 years. Israel cannot destroy Hamas with bombs alone, because Hamas an idea. That’s why, with Amalek, God told the Jewish people to destroy “all memory” of them. But with killing Hamas members, the ideology still lives on in the fertile recruiting ground of the Palestinian population. Hamas is not making hostage deals because while Israel sees winning as killing individual Hamas members and leaders, Hamas sees winning as the expansion of the global anti-Israel ideology. Their ideology is gaining, with Russia, China, and North Korea backing Iran, and 146 nations now recognizing a terrorist-led “Palestinian state” that wants to conquer Israel. Not to mention, France and the Uk have recently elected the political pro-Islamist Left. Palestinians and Hamas are incapable of surrender the way Germany and Japan surrendered after WW2. They are part of a broader ideology more than for their own self-interest.
As such, Israel is in an escalating war for its survival that her enemies won’t allow to end. I explain this in my blog on the Times of Israel, “The True Reason We Are Not Getting the Hostages Back” at https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-true-reason-were-not-getting-hostages-back Dr. Yuval Bitton, former head of Israeli prison system intelligence, said Israel has not learned to understand Hamas. Humanity’s formula for understanding wars can be almost perfect, yet completely wrong if missing even one element.
Now, Israel is looking at war with Hezbollah, not because it’s in Israel’s strategic interest, but because they are triggering Israel into war the same way Hamas did.
Israel’s wars only end if and when Israel wins. This is because Israel’s enemies are a collective, self-sacrificing ideology, and Israel losing or even a stalemate is all they need to continue fighting, even at their own individual expense.
Understanding the Arab ideology:
Israel’s leaders are political, and inherently bound to celebrate political achievements, like peace agreements with Egypt and Jordan, and the Abraham Accords. Likewise, to be lured by a Saudi peace offer, and pressured by U.S. relations. While our international system and United Nations are built by and between nations like Egypt and Jordan, we must not misunderstand the weaknesses of our nation-state system. The Arabs see themselves as an Arab “nation”, 84% polled across 480 million people in 16 Arab countries do not recognize Israel, and 89% do not believe in recognizing ties with Israel after 76 years. This is worse than a few decades ago despite the peace treaties. Israel’s piece of paper with the leaders of six Arab countries is not peace, and such peace deals alone will not transform the Middle East into Israel acceptance without addressing the ideological problem. The underlying ideology is still at war with Israel, same as 1948, and will attack the moment Israel appears vulnerable, which may need nothing more than others attacking. Israel’s peace treaties are now being used as a weapon against her, while the entire Arab nation closes its borders and disallows Palestinian refugees, after allowing terror tunnels and the growing anti-Israel ideology to instigate the conflict. Media is more inflammatory and divisive than ever. It’s no coincidence that after Israel was attacked, Egypt and Jordan sealed their borders, United States demanded Israel not expand the war, and the international community began a law-fare campaign against Israel. It’s no coincidence that Hamas is not making a deal to release the hostages, the U.S. is delaying shipments and passing U.N. Security Council ceasefire resolutions, the UAE stepped in to bail out Egypt, and now Hezbollah is attacking. Iran met with North Korea and Pakistan days after Israel’s weak “demonstration” attack on a S-300 missile site, and reportedly the Ayatollah wants a bomb by November 5th. It’s not a coincidence, but part of one united ideological phenomenon. While obviously Israel has a right to neutralize any and all Hamas, and regime change in Iran would be helpful, I believe Israel is fighting this broader war very piecemeal and two-dimensionally.
Israel is not fighting an evil leader like Hitler. Sinwar and all the other moving pieces are mere symptoms of an invisible, shapeshifting, leaderless ideology, an even greater threat, and Israel doesn’t know how to fight or even understand the actual disease. Israel cannot spend years in wars chasing one Sinwar after another.
The “two-state solution” as thought of, is essentially now unviable, as it was reliant on Palestinians wanting the same and the premise of a rational world. If the world is now so ideological that it will recognize a terrorist-led Palestinian “state” that supports October 7th and wants the river to the sea, then why wouldn’t much of the world also support a new Palestinian state’s demands for weapons, unlimited influx, and an army miles from Jerusalem?
Understanding the broader war:
War is ultimately a battle for moral perspective, but globally, the very lens through which the world sees morality, the world’s fundamental understanding of what is right and wrong, is being corrupted to see Israel as evil. We can ignore this, but not the consequences of increasingly almost every nation siding with the Palestinians. The United Nations with its 57 Muslim states versus one Jewish is being turned into a system for disarming Israel militarily between the Security Council, General Assembly, International Court of Justice, International Criminal Court, and Human Rights Commission. Meanwhile, fundamentalist Islamism is sweeping much of the Muslim world, and soon Europe, and elsewhere.
This path is unsustainable. The entire world will increasingly see Israel as evil just for fighting to survive, thereby encouraging Israel’s enemies. Why? Because the world’s moral perspective is relative, on a subconscious and emotional level far more powerful than logic or reason or even their own stated values, and based on whom they tribally identify with as their own in-group. In other words, moral perspective doesn’t dictate in-group versus out-group, but rather, in-group versus out-group dictates moral perspective. That’s why terrorists have so many friends. Trying to convince the world logically that Israel is moral is failing and will fail like it failed in every diaspora community, because individually the tribal polarization reduces functioning of the prefrontal cortex, and collectively channels political power toward more ideological goals. And like that, former diaspora community’s anti-Semitism is now becoming global as the world becomes a community. This is not temporary, but the world’s path unless corrected. When faced with the irrationality of anti-Semitism, the world will instead choose international law as its moral compass. As anti-Semitism spreads by its own inherent political gain, the tribalism against Israel will grow under the guise of international law and morality, which the world will tragically cling to until WW3.
Understanding the current U.S. Administration:
(Parts of this are updated here:)
(Continued) There may be material misunderstanding of the U.S.-Israel relationship. Most Israelis and Americans seem unaware why the Biden/Obama team seem to specialize in endless wars. In reality, the policies of Left and Right in America are fundamentally and materially different, making the U.S. bipolar to the rest of the world.
As such, Israel needs to consider the following possibility:
This Biden/Obama U.S. Administration is regularly punishing Israel to control her war strategy to limit winning options. I say that because the Administration has been playing a hot and cold two-faced game with Israel far above Joe Biden’s capabilities. The U.S. removed an aircraft carrier days after it was sent, prevented holding Qatar responsible unless they hand over Hamas, is withholding Israel’s weapons supplying, and recently has cancelled a meeting on Iran as “punishment” for Netanyahu’s criticism of it. The U.S. released $6 billion to Iran and another $10 billion during this war reminiscent of Obama, and is negotiating with Iran behind Israel’s back. Obama recently met in person with U.K. PM Sunak days before passing of an anti-Israel ceasefire resolution in the U.N. Security Council.
Obama left office after eight years with Isis raging, Iran well-funded, and three “endless” wars ongoing. As we saw with U.N. Security Council Resolution 2334 in December 2016, which Obama secretly manufactured on his way out of office with nothing to gain, and then pretended to abstain from, Obama also harbors deep anti-Israel feelings and agenda he very cleverly conceals. Not to mention, malignant narcissistic personality disorder and a messiah complex. The entire world condemns Israel now, with UN SC Res. 2334 resolution as the underlying legal basis. Obama now communicates directly with Biden’s chief of staff and runs a carrot and stick game to control Israel’s war. While Netanyahu tries to be a statesman as though the game isn’t rigged, everyone is mistaken who follows old assumptions of longstanding U.S. policy without the “Obama factor”, as that one factor can throw the entire equation off.
Most realize now that there is a movement to replace candidate Biden, but most don’t know it is secretly led by Obama. As Joe Scarborough recently said on MSNBC, “One thing that we do have to underline here — just so viewers can follow what’s going on behind the scenes — is the Biden campaign and many Democratic officials do believe that Barack Obama is quietly working behind the scenes to orchestrate this,” Scarborough said on “Morning Joe.”
But it’s bigger than that. In 2020, three Democrat candidates pulled out right before Super Tuesday to put Biden in, with Obama the only one with the ability to pull the strings and motive to put his former VP in as placeholder for his return. Obama was very envious of how Putin put Medvedev in power so Putin could come back in, and has boasted about wanting a third term. Obama apparently hopes to swap Michelle in at the last minute for a fourth presidential term, to continue his hidden, pro-Iran, pro-JCPOA, anti-Russia, war-filled, and deeply anti-Israel agenda for at least four more years. It’s no coincidence we went back to every Obama-era conflict under Biden, which was resolved under Trump. Rumor has it, one reason Obama hates Putin, is because Obama was pushing for a second and far worse U.N. Security Council resolution against Israel after 2334, that was so anti-Israel even Putin threatened to veto it.
A Michigan voter registration form was sent out with Michelle Obama’s picture on it, and she was on the cover of Life Magazine in April, which attempted to rewrite her role as involved during the Obama Presidency. This has been in the planning for some time. One must consider that Democrats not really having primaries and Biden failing at the last minute is part of Obama’s plan to swap in Michelle Obama either at the top or bottom of the ticket (who doesn’t want to be president) without much scrutiny, debate, or questions. Democratic congressmen have come out saying it was Obama who convinced everyone to stick with Biden in the primaries. This may also be why the Biden debate was scheduled early, to allow Obama to maneuver the switch before the convention. Obama, while pretending it is not him, is now fiercely trying to undermine Biden, hoping to get Michelle on the ticket. Reportedly, Obama was on the phone with major news networks during the Trump CNN debate, and it’s Obama’s former staff like Axelrod and Favreau who are pushing hardest against Biden.
To understand Obama’s effect on U.S. policy, one must consider it intentional that the U.S. bailed out Iran from their error of opening themselves up to an attack from Israel, by telling Israel if Israel attacks Iran, that Israel is “on your own” as Biden reportedly told Netanyahu. One must consider whether the U.S. under Biden/Obama is paying billions in ransom for hostages, or it’s an excuse to intentionally channel funds to Iran. Meanwhile, the mainstream U.S. media promotes Biden/Obama as wonderfully pro-Israel. Without real understanding, the Israeli leadership’s entire paradigm of trying to maintain best possible relations with the U.S. at the expense of strategic victories is a false trap. Most American Jews wrongly assume the Democrats will always be pro-Israel. As we may be looking at all-out war with Hezbollah while Iran goes nuclear, God forbid another four years of such worsening conflicts with Obama at the helm. Obama back in the White House as a behind-the-scenes president is a worst-case scenario for Israeli, U.S., and global security, for an anti-Israel agenda I believe Obama has, that I have only begun to elude to. There are a number of other suspicious facts, least of which is that the person who knows Obama best, his personal chef, turned up dead months before the election.
In the end, perhaps Netanyahu’s compromises of strategic victories to U.S. demands might only accomplish helping land an Obama-led U.S. administration another four years, to “stab Israel in the back” again as Alan Dershowitz said, AFTER the 2024 election when Obama can show his true colors and there is no recourse, instead of before, when it may alert American Jews of the danger. Of course, a nuclear Iran is just as big a long-term threat to the U.S., Europe, and moderate Arab states. Regardless, Biden the Administration cares first about looking good until after the election, far more than even U.S. security interests, but one must understand how to use this, for all our sakes.
Most American Jews do not understand Obama’s disastrous U.N. Security Council Resolution 2334. It does more than make the world believe Israel is an (immoral/illegal) occupier of Jerusalem and all territory acquired after June 1967, and encourage terrorists and global pro-Palestinian policies. It makes Israel’s taking further territory in self-defense “illegal”. This removes one of Israel’s main deterrents. The risk of loss of territory causes internal conflict among attackers’ otherwise united ideology in conquering Israel. Because the Resolution is a factual fallacy that a 3000-year-old Jewish Temple and City don’t belong to the Jews, it is a nail in the coffin of destroying international law’s legitimacy and the world’s moral compass, a root cause of the current conflict.
I discuss some of these more in my Blogs, “The Trail of Mistakes to Nuclear War” https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-trail-of-mistakes-to-nuclear-war/. Dragging Israel down this erroneous path, the U.S., the Arabs, and other “allies” are restricting Israel’s options in the current conflict in ways that stand in the way of victory. I explain this more in “War in a Box” https://danielbenabraham.substack.com/p/war-on-a-leash, and “Outsmarting Israel’s Conundrum” https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/outsmarting-israels-conundrum-3-10-2024/.
Of course, none of these policies are in the U.S. interest either, not Israel being in war, and not a nuclear Iran, but Leftism, Communism, socialism, anarchism, Islamism, and a number of other ideologies have united with and are steering the political Left to make such a course appear palatable until too late.
On the Ukraine war:
The unnecessary Russia-Ukraine-NATO conflict and alignment of Russia, China, Iran and North Korea are root causes of Israel’s current wars. The U.S. Administration’s weakness or intent is literally funding both sides of both wars, and encouraging escalation so perfectly, that if Satan were behind it trying to bring about WW3, he could hardly be doing a better job. Russia just shot down a U.S. drone over the Black Sea, and while the conflict is escalating, Biden hasn’t spoken to Putin in two years. Putin doesn’t understand why his peace offers are being rejected, as the conflict is not ultimately about territory. The world’s conflicts have largely outgrown the effectiveness of the U.N. and our nation-state system, and become ideological. The world lacks the strong and wise U.S. leadership to make up for this widening gap, increasingly unable to address Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea’s aligned interests, and the dynamics of the NATO’s collective poor decision-making.
Thus, with the current thinking and current Biden/Obama Administration, both the Israel and Ukraine wars are “escalating stalemates” toward WW3.
More problems:
The world’s peace-maintenance systems are broken, and we need something different. But different how?
Nobody else has even a theoretical solution for how to destroy Hamas ideologically. Israeli former spokesperson IDF Lt. Col. (Ret.) Jonathan Conricus said in a PragerU interview with Marissa Streit, “Israel understands that it cannot defeat Hamas as an idea, as a call for extremist muslims around the world and for Palestinians. That is not what Israel is trying to do.” I respectfully disagree. This is exactly what Israel must do but doesn’t know how.
Nobody else has even a theoretical solution for how to fix the increasingly anti-Semitic United Nations. The International Court of Justice, the Security Council, the General Assembly, the International Criminal Court, and all of international law are increasingly being used as a weapon to force nations to cut off arms to Israel, and this will only get worse on our current course, along with the world’s lost moral perspective, causing increasing wars. This is unsustainable.
Nobody else has even a theoretical solution for the radical Islamic ideology that is sweeping the world. Fifty years ago, from Pakistan to Morocco, native traditional cultural attire and modern dress were common. Egyptian President Nasser in 1958 laughed at and mocked the idea of a law mandating wearing a hijab. Now, in much of the Islamic world, the hijab and burka are increasingly ubiquitous, and mandatory, along with a fundamentalist global ideology nobody seems to understand how to address on the macro level.
Nobody else even has a theory to explain why this ideology, that burns and beheads women, children, rabbis and priests, is growing globally, let alone how to deal with it. Logic, reason, and appealing to morality and prospects of a better life don’t work.
Nobody else has even a theoretical solution for how to stop the growing global anti-Semitism which is enveloping the world. Many want to fight the symptoms, without fully understanding the underlying disease. Some think if we Jews just keep to ourselves, anti-Semitism will not grow. They are wrong. Some think if we strive to be the most moral nation in the world, other nations will see our morality and remain rational. They are wrong too. Being the most moral nation alone is not working, and the world increasingly thinks Israel is one of the most evil under international law. The U.N. Human Rights Commission’s spokesman even said Israel’s rescue of her own hostages held in Gaza may be a “war crime.”
The long-term world view on acceptance of zionism is decreasing, and the former head of Shin Ben Ami Ayalon on CNN said this war is leading to the end of zionism.
While there are cycles between good and bad U.S. administrations, Israel is long-term not winning this broader war. Netanyahu says the U.N. ganging up on Israel as simply inexplicable, unavoidable anti-Semitism, and Israel is losing the battle of trying to explain rationally why she is correct and increasingly the entire world is incorrect.
I respectfully disagree that anti-Semitism is unavoidable. The ancient Jewish sages said all war is the result of error. I agree with them.
We need a new perspective.
We need game-changer strategy, and here it is.
The solution:
It is our duty as Jews to be a light onto the nations. As war is a battle for moral perspective, our solution to get out of this mess is a moral answer, and it’s different than the rest of the world’s. Because Israel is now a nation, Israel must be a moral light to the world.
We don’t just need to fight this war smart. We need to fight this war metaphysically.
I am not offering more of the same thinking or research. I am developing completely new, next-generation theories on dismantling terrorist groups and anti-Semitism on an ideological level, globally, and short and long-term game-changer solutions. I seek to bring in the best minds to help me develop these solutions.
Israel has only a short 76 years in modern times of defending itself as a nation, after 2000 years without a territorial state, and has very little written sage teachings wisdom on self-defense as a state against global anti-Semitism. In the past 2000 years, exploding anti-Semitism often led to the destruction of diaspora communities nearly everywhere. Before then, anti-Semitic empires attacked Israel repeatedly and led to the destruction of Israel ending the First and Second Temple eras.
The Shoftim (שופטים) or judges who saved Israel in the past did so not just by being great fighters, but being able to understand justice, and as war is a battle for moral perspective, reset the world’s moral compass to align with a united Israel.
Let’s begin.
Hamas is not a person, nor group, nor even its leadership. Hamas is an idea. And the only thing that can defeat an idea is a better idea.
Hamas is an ideology that lives in the collective unconscious psyche of the Palestinian and broader Arab peoples. These are ideological wars, and we need new strategies for understanding and “solving” them. Hamas and Hezbollah fighters are not afraid of dying because the human adherents are pawns, and the ideology is the supreme sovereign entity. Suicide bombing and sacrificing their own fighters for ideological gains is just a symptom of this dynamic.
In other words, we misunderstand who the enemy is. The enemy is not exactly the terrorists, the supporters, the populations of dozens of countries, and global anti-Semites. They are pawns, and we are fighting the symptom instead of the disease. The true enemy is the ideology. We are actually fighting an invisible, intangible, collective hive mind that lives in the subconscious minds of groups and entire populations, and runs down the center of the heart of every Palestinian. That ideological entity is the real enemy. Israel and the U.S. don’t know how to fight it, so we are primitively killing the terrorists, but losing the global ideological war. Hamas refuses to make a deal to release the hostages because the global ideological gains supersede Hamas members’ individual deaths. Interestingly, our enemies have been talking about a zionist “entity” and U.S. “entity”, and we never listened closely enough to their culture being built on the ideological entity dynamics in war.
The enemy is, however, very afraid of harm to their ideology, but feels invincible because Israel doesn’t understand how to weaken their ideology. This battle is on a different level. If Israel understood this real war, Israel could address the ideology, and macro-effect all the two-dimensional subparts of the conflict from Hezbollah to Hamas. There are ways to turn Hamas against the Palestinians, the Palestinians against Iran, weaken and dissipate the ideologies, allow causes of conflicts to neutralize one-another, and even help the world love Israel and see Israel as moral again. Essentially, to affect the tide which then raises all boats.
While anti-Semitism is “irrational” in the sense that it does not benefit the life of the anti-Semite, “irrational” does not mean it operates and spreads by no rules. It’s not random. It just operates by a different set of rules, that if we understood, we could affect.
I have found some of those rules, some of them hidden in the Torah, and new ideas and theories to not only better guide Israel’s strategy, but change the entire landscape of war for mankind on a metaphysical level, which I believe is Israel’s broader future global role for peace. These apply whether we are talking about Hamas, global anti-Semitism, or even world peace. Wrapped inside the mystery of anti-Semitism, I believe are the clues for understanding and solving all war amongst mankind.
Humanity’s wars are not over land nor resources nor religion. Wars are not caused by individuals, nor soldiers, nor even leaders for the most part. The leaders are usually likewise the pawns of the ideologies. Wars are caused by the moral questions that humanity stumbles over. In Israel’s case, “What should happen with the Palestinians?”, or “Why shouldn’t Arabs conquer Israel?”, or even, “How do you separate Palestinians from the ideology of destroying Israel?” When the world cannot answer these moral questions, we begin to polarize on opposite sides of them in group collective mindsets. Each side becomes increasingly ideological and irrational, breaking down the systems that maintain peace, each believing it is defending itself from a worse threat in the other, until war is the only option left. Anti-Semitism didn’t just increase because Hamas attacked on October 7th; October 7th is a symptom of increasing global anti-Semitism and other broader ideologies combining.
Let’s apply Entitativity theory and metaphysics to the Gaza war:
Bombing the Palestinians doesn’t make them hate Hamas, as despite some criticism, Hamas is still supported over 72% amongst Palestinians. Palestinians have no political process or alternatives, so they have no choice but to support Hamas, no matter how much suffering Hamas brings them.
The Rambam taught that when fighting a war, we must always give the enemy a way to escape. In the “three walls” discussion Rambam (Laws of Kings 6:7), the Rambam said we must always leave the enemy one fourth wall open, a way out. War philosopher Sun Tzu said the same, that when you surround an army, always leave an outlet free. This is not just to fight fewer soldiers, but to weaken the enemy’s ideology. Arab ideologies generally cannot withstand diversity of opinion. If we opened the Rafah border into the Sinai, the fleeing Palestinians would weaken, if not collapse, the Hamas ideology. That’s why the first thing Egypt and the Arabs demanded after 10/7 was to seal the Rafah border, and to make sure the U.S. likewise opposed Israel opening the Rafah border to the Sinai. The U.S. Administration was, of course, happy to support this policy rather than pressure Egypt to open Rafah. Israel has been led into a trap, and is still in it. I explain this in detail in “The True Reason We Are Not Getting the Hostages Back” at https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-true-reason-were-not-getting-hostages-back, https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/seize-the-damn-rafah-border-already/, as well as four articles on Rafah border strategy as a nexus to countless possible solutions, including the Three Option Plan for Exploring Simultaneous Palestinian Statehood and Relocation, and others. https://danielbenabraham.substack.com/p/the-three-option-plan-for-exploring
Israel may be in a war it can’t end, because her enemies will seek to continue it. The question may not be whether to open the Rafah border, but only when and how, as Israel may ultimately not have a choice. It’s not about kicking Palestinians out. Israel does not have to. Many Palestinians want to voluntarily leave. It’s about giving the Palestinians a choice that divides and weakens the anti-Israel ideology. If Palestinians start leaving, Hamas (the ideological entity) is divided from and forced into war against Palestinians (the ideological entity). Hamas will start killing fleeing Palestinians, and their ideology will collapse because it will lose its base of support. Extremists can only swim in a sea of moderates. Even as a political solution, Palestinians being allowed to leave Gaza forces Hamas to moderate, because the more conflict they cause, the more they would lose their population base of support. This is why Egypt closing its border in violation of international law is an act of war. It’s just war on an ideological level they understand and Israel does not.
Part of winning any conflict is understanding the varying moral perspectives, and universal morality. Israel may bomb the Palestinians, but it is not consistent with universal morality to bomb the Palestinians without a way out for the Palestinians who wish to leave. Even if the whole world disagrees, Israel must be different, and must be a light onto the nations, even if every other nation doesn’t want to see it. Allowing war refugees to flee and seek asylum is the world’s moral rule applicable to every other conflict zone. This means an ideological distortion is misdirecting the world’s “moral” opposition to it in Israel’s conflict. More on this in my other writings. Israel has a moral right and obligation to provide a path for Palestinians who wish to leave, and there is a world of difference between allowing Palestinians who wish to leave to do so, and forcibly expelling them. “Not a single Palestinian should be forced to leave, but not a single Palestinian should be forced to stay.” If Arabs cannot form a diversity of opinion, Israel must create one or be in permanent endless war, which harms Israelis, and is thus immoral. With the nexus of opportunities that open with the Rafah border, almost everything Israel does with the border closed loses, and almost everything Israel does with the border open gains. The reason the whole world was up in arms about Israel going into Rafah more than any other Gaza city, is not because they care about Palestinian lives. It was because the Arab world understands that opening the Rafah border is a strategic weakness to divide Hamas ideology from Palestinian ideology. Israel, tragically, obeyed her enemies’ instructions not to exploit their weakness, and nine months later the war continues.
The Egyptians knew to seal the Rafah border and could pressure the U.S. to agree faster than Israel could open the border. While Egypt threatened great Arab retaliation if Israel opened the Rafah border, there are many creative ways to open it and allow Palestinians into the Sinai and elsewhere, voluntarily for those who choose, temporarily or permanently. There are creative ways to have all the leverage in the world over Egypt, including legally, politically, creatively, and strategically. Especially, if Egypt allowed Sinwar to escape. Even the Palestinians’ own ideological momentum can help Israel. There is a summary of the partial legal basis in my article, “Egypt Must Accept Refugees at Rafah Per Int’l Law” https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/egypt-must-accept-refugees-at-rafah-per-intl-law/
Israel is being accused of keeping Palestinians in an “open air prison” and “concentration camp”, when Israel is the only country who wants to let them out. This insanity can only continue if Israel fails to stand up for universal morality. If Israel allows Palestinians into the Sinai, there will be a huge outcry. However, with that outcry, there would be a debate, and since Israel is morally correct, Israel will eventually win that debate. Ultimately, the world cannot impose the Palestinian ideological cause of destroying Israel on individual Palestinians who wish for the freedom to leave and go elsewhere. The enemy’s victory is that they prevented Israel from having that debate. Israel’s victory would be the ability, to allow those Palestinians who wish to leave an avenue to do so.
Israel must not let faulty international law, faulty bureaucratic systems, and enemies to dictate her morality, from which military strategy comes. Israel must develop her own and be the light. Any other temporary security is just a tightening trap. I don’t believe the strategy of kicking the can down the road to buy time indefinitely will work for all the reasons stated.
Ideologies contain their own moral perspectives as fundamental to their value system and adhesion. However, ideological entities, and thus their human adherents, ultimately, do not behave according to their own moral value systems. This is one thing humanity fundamentally misunderstands about war. Individuals believe they are fighting for their values. However, the ideological entity is in charge with its own interests independent from the claimed moral value system. Rather, it behaves as a separate living entity with its own independent survival and growth interests. That’s why even if Hamas was able to create a Palestinian state, it would only seek to continue to expand and become a caliphate that takes over Egypt, Jordan, and Lebanon, like it had prior to the British Mandate. Interestingly, the reason Israel won previous wars is not just the military victories on the ground, but because the ideological divides over the losses threatened the ideologies of the Arab states Israel was at war with.
On a side note about ideological entities, a main reason Putin made the mistake of invading Ukraine is because he did not understand the strength of the Ukrainian ideological entity as separate from Russia, willing to sacrifice its adherents for the ideology’s survival. Likewise, the reason China does not understand a potential Taiwan invasion is it does not understand the degree to which the Taiwanese ideology is a separate entity that will sacrifice adherents for its survival, and gain international allies who are likewise opponents of the dominant Chinese political party.
Understanding and utilizing such ideological dynamics is the key to avoiding and winning all wars, and world peace, by preventing unnecessary and irrational ideological conflicts when a good debate might suffice. I have said, “You don’t need to go to war with an army to stop an army; you just need to ask them a question they can’t answer.”
On Hezbollah and Lebanon:
Right now, the real threat is Iran going nuclear, and Israel is being led by her enemies from one distraction in Gaza to another in Lebanon. Whether with Gaza or Lebanon, Israel has an absolute moral right to annex land used to attack her in self-defense, contrary to United Nations resolutions and United States demands. This is not because Israel wants the land, but because it creates a split of ideology among the attacking population because they finally have something to lose. The ideological entity does not care about its own Arab lives, but does care about being divided and weakened with humiliation of the permanent loss of land. The Torah, for example Deuteronomy 20:10, requires that before going to war, we offer the enemy peace first. This is not merely to give peace a chance. When peace is strategically offered with the right opportunity and consequence, it divides and turns anti-Israel ideologies against one-another, and can even make war unnecessary. Israel must understand that the problem is that the ideology does not fear loss of Hezbollah fighters, but does fear permanent opposition from the Lebanese people. Ancient Israel had land past Tyr, Lebanon. If Israel threatened to take more land the more the Hezbollah conflict continued, and if Israel found creative ways to win the moral question with the world over doing so, it might prevent war in Lebanon.
On global anti-Semitism and a new system of world peace:
Anti-Semitism spreads because new ideological entities rise for power and challenge the establishment ideological entity, Judeo-Christian values, upon which Western civilization and our world moral perspective is based. Hitler said “conscience is a Jewish invention.” As new ideologies differentiate themselves from source morality to gain more power, they become “evil” by definition. However, from the perspective of the other ideology, for example, growing Leftism on college campuses and across Europe united with Islamic conquest ideology, they see Israel is evil for being the establishment moral perspective that stands in its way.
The world needs a better way to resolve disputes. The U.N. is built on the nation-state system, and can’t address conflicts between ideological entities and their populations. Arguably, the reason ideological and terrorist conflicts are growing globally is because we plugged that hole, and with human nature war finds another way. The U.N. and international Courts are increasingly biased against not just Israel, and Judeo-Christian values, but the U.S., and all of Western Civilization - the very values that created them. The same phenomenon is a threat to the U.S., all of Europe, and then all civilization in its broadest sense. Soon it’s victims will include eastern nations and peoples on every continent; South Korea, Japan, Australia, India, eventually Russia, and eventually almost everyone, even those who mistakenly believe they are gaining from this phenomenon now. Like the League of Nations, our own systems will lead to our destruction unless we build new ones first.
The U.N. is fundamentally flawed, unable to prevent wars like Russia/NATO or the Middle East, genocides like the Yazidi and countless others, can’t stop terrorist groups that are now as powerful as nations, and increasingly anti-Semitic. The peoples of the world need something more effective. The ultimate reason Israel is being raked over the coals in the U.N. is that we haven’t thought of something better, yet. If the Jewish people built a new, better world peace system to rival the U.N.’s power, they would already treat us differently because their power structure would be weakened by their own moral errors. Why? Because, there would be an alternative that divides U.N. power ideology. The Jewish people will exist long after the U.N. collapses from the weight of its own false morality.
However, don’t misunderstand. This proposed new world peace system is not a “Liberal” or naive hope of peace that fails to grasp Hamas’ genocidal ideology, hinders Israel’s security, or turns anti-Semitic like the U.N.. It is the exact opposite. As such, the solution to both globalizing anti-Semitism and all conflict amongst humanity is the same – a new global peace-building system based on and in Jerusalem that continually resets and re-centers the world’s moral compass by solving all global conflicts based on Jewish values without the need for war, by maintaining a Socratic, Talmudic-style debate to keep evil ideologies from rising. If Israel could be the world’s global peacemaker, everyone will love the Jews for it. Not because we will be the most moral nation although we will be, but because we will be the world’s compass of what morality means and everyone will need us to maintain peace. Moral perspective doesn’t dictate in-group versus out-group, but rather, in-group versus out-group dictates moral perspective. That’s the path to the world seeing Israel as moral again, and why a global peace-building system based in Jerusalem can be seen by the world as the center of morality. It may ultimately be the only thing that can prevent WW3. And of course, it will not require the U.N. or anyone else to “hand over” power, but will be self-implementing, drawing more power from the U.N. as it is overshadowed by the effectiveness of the new system at furthering world peace.
On Islamic expansion and conquest:
The Muslim world, which was peaceful with Jews for centuries, has gone from ninety million in 1900 to nearly two billion 125 years later. Islam itself is not necessarily an enemy, but there has risen a dominant conquest ideology within Islam that is a threat to many cultures, peoples, world peace, and even many Islamic peoples, cultures, and governments. It is possible to create a world peace with true Islam, because the ideology that threatens Israel, Europe, and much of the world, is actually against the Qur’an as well, which is actually Zionist. For example, the Qur’an states, “And thereafter We [Allah] said to the Children of Israel: 'Dwell securely in the Promised Land.” (Qur'an 17:104). The tools exist to win ideological wars, we just don’t know how to use them. We don’t know how to set up the structures to resolve these disputes. In the end, a dominant Zionist ideology within Islam is not only possible, but necessary, and very much in the interests of Muslims also. My theories on the dynamics of ideological entities are the only conceivable path to long-term solutions I am aware of.
One of the fundamental threats facing Israel, is that the world has a moral question that remains unanswered. Namely, “Is it moral for Islamism to conquer Western Civilization?” If we do not properly answer that question, we are divided and the world is united. If we do, we are united and the forces of war and conquest are divided.
What I plan to do:
The most powerful thing in the world is an idea, which is why it comes from the Kaballah “Keter”, or crown - the spark of divinity. Nothing can stop an idea whose time has come. With Israel’s and the Ukraine wars both locked in “escalating stalemates”, I am seeking involvement in developing the following:
Entitativity theory and strategy development - the missing component to understanding all ideological wars by their dynamics, including the understanding and development of ideological conflict neutralizing systems.
A new, conservative Jewish global peace-building system based on the PeaceMatrix™ to enhance and replace the anti-Semitic United Nations and establish world peace to continually re-set the world’s moral compass to align with Jewish values, to prevent evil ideologies from rising, and to truly be a light unto the nations.
The immediate start of global peace-building efforts based on the beginnings of such a peace-building system.
“10th Man” analysis of where possible strategists, analysts, and policymakers may be misguided, and explaining why.
I believe this is the path to secure peace for Israel, and ultimately resolve all world conflicts based on Jewish values, is how we will bring about world peace, fulfill our destiny, and truly become a light onto the nations.
The PeaceMatrix™ may start as a geometric strategy session and debate between think tanks for global armed conflict resolution. It organizes the key outstanding questions in any conflict, and allows participants to built on top of one another’s ideas through a Socratic-style debate, soon developing solutions. Ultimately, it is designed to answer the questions that humanity stumbles over, with the goal of ending all war for mankind.
I hope to launch in pre-beta:
-PeaceMatrix™ Israel & Arab conquest ideology
-PeaceMatrix™ Russia & Ukraine NATO
-PeaceMatrix™ Islamic conquest of Europe
-PeaceMatrix™ Fixing or replacing the United Nations
-PeaceMatrix™ Left and Right in American politics (to help heal the American political divide)
-PeaceMatrix™ China & Taiwan
And others.
Eventually, I see a peace-building body in Israel, putting forth the greatest wisdom in the world for resolving disputes between nations, tribes, cultures, religions, political groups and ideologies.
As part of this work, I believe it would be strategically advantageous to be actively involved in helping achieve peace between Russia and Ukraine/NATO, including in the current peace negotiations. This war caused much of the world’s polarization, and Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran getting together, making the world far more hostile for Israel. The solution is to make Israel more valuable to Russia than Iran is, and the way to do that is to help Russia make peace. Recently, Russia alone abstained in the last U.N. Security Council ceasefire resolution (14-1) to send Netanyahu a message that Putin may be closer to Israel than the U.S. as far as this. https://english.news.cn/20231105/ab3e536464684fe6b5d73ee95a4a501b/c.html Also unconfirmed, is a report that, Russia would host 43,000 Palestinian refugees for six months as a humanitarian gesture. The Jewish Autonomous Region (JAR) in Russia's Far East, with JAR Governor Rostislav Goldstein has previously said they would accept Palestinians from the conflict. Likewise India’s disputes, Taiwan, etc.
I seek to develop new “outside-the-box” ideas and perspectives that neurotypical people haven’t thought of, ideas that think tanks and their administrations, structures, cultures and restrictions don’t always allow without outside guidance. These ideas which are too “outside the box” are the ones we need when the “inside the box” strategies aren’t working.
Welcome, finally, to the first steps towards world peace.
I seek to form a mastermind working group and “think tank aggregator” - an ongoing strategy session and debate between the best minds in think tanks and other groups and institutions - to develop these ideas and others through my newsletter, PeaceMatrix™ system, and 10th man analysis and consulting.
Much of my writings are free to subscribe to.
I also have a paid membership with more content.
To help fund my full time work, I am open to ideas, but looking at a paid subscription service of Substack “founding members” intended for supporters and think tanks and those more seriously involved. That will involve full content and participation in my mastermind group (membership $1k/month), to help me develop these ideas for Israel and global security to have the necessary wisdom for peace. The membership would include all new published writings, participation in ongoing strategy development, ability to submit and develop ideas and questions that may become become part of the PeaceMatrix™ aggregate analysis being built atop one-another, opportunities for collaboration on peace and conflict resolution initiatives, license to republish public writings and options for customized development, custom “10th man consulting” available, and direct contact with me in collaboration this process.
If you know somebody who might be interested in helping or being involved, or if you have other ideas, please let me know.
I could use the help.
Shalom,
Daniel Ben Abraham Ha Levi
J.D. Specialization in International Law
Subscribe to my Blog: Danielbenabraham.substack.com
Alt. Blog on the Times of Israel: https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/author/daniel-ben-abraham/
Author: The PeaceMatrix™ Volume I - The mission to implement the world’s most revolutionary peace-building system and stop WWIII https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B0BJ1S8X9H
Author: The PeaceMatrix™ Volume II - Writings on Israel and Entitativity https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0D8G3CXV6
Twitter @thepeacematrix
Twitter @DanielbAbraham1
Donate at www.thepeacematrix.org
Donate at www.danielbenabraham.com
Gofundme: https://gofund.me/fcf92966