Update on Progress to WW3 - 11.2.2024

In case you are wondering where we are in World War III…

Update on Progress to WW3 - 11.2.2024

In case you are wondering where we are in World War III…

The problem with most news media is, even if they give you the facts, they don’t give you the correct narrative with which to understand.

Israel’s “October 7th War” is now a year-long, six-front war. Israel has expertly eliminated over ten thousand Hamas terrorists, brilliantly neutralized thousands of Hezbollah terrorists in the pager operation, and masterfully removed terrorist leaders including Haniyah, Nasrallah, and Sinwar. Not to mention, the Iranian President’s helicopter crash, unless of course that was God.

But regardless, the conflict continues, and escalates. Hamas has still not released the hostages, and Israel continues fighting Hamas in Gaza, fighting Hamas in the West Bank, fighting Hezbollah in Lebanon, fighting the Houthis in Yemen, striking targets in Syria, and in a direct, escalating conflict with Iran.

On Oct 26, according to the Jerusalem Post, Israeli Defense Minister Gallant sent a letter to Netanyahu regarding concern of the broader goals of this war, writing:

“The situation in which we find ourselves operating without a reinforced compass and without updated objectives for the war impairs the conduct of the campaign and the cabinet’s decision-making.”

Galant also reportedly said, October 27, “Not all objectives can be achieved through military operations alone.”

The problem is, Israel has no good plans for “the day after”, because all the potential solutions have been made illegal or diplomatically unfeasible long ago….absent a completely outside-the-box strategy, of course.

Hamas will not release hostages because while individual members and even its leaders are being killed, Hamas is part of an ideology that resides in the collective unconscious of millions of people. And as Sinwar believed, the broader, long-term global cause against Israel is still growing and uniting.

Israel only has the luxury of ending a war if it wins. Otherwise, the war continues. Individual players, groups, and even nations will sacrifice themselves for the broader ideological cause. That cause, is now globalizing, from Hamas, to Hezbollah, to college campuses, to the United Nations, to Yemen, to Iran, and increasingly worldwide through Russia and BRICs. Those who want to destroy Israel are united with those who want to weaken Israel and those who want the war to stop and those who want to help Palestinians, and so on.

The world does not want to let Israel win this time.

There is little agreement on “the day after.” Those who simply want Israel to end the war don’t understand. If Israel stops fighting and withdraws from Gaza and Lebanon, Hamas and Hezbollah will declare victory, and likely rebuild with tens of thousands of new soldiers in months. Abandoning hostages would be seen as weakness, and the missiles raining down on Israel from Iran, Lebanon, Gaza, and Yemen would increase as they build up forces for their next attack.

The United Nations General Assembly responded to Israel’s elimination of terrorists by voting overwhelmingly, by 124 nations, on September 17th, to demand Israel end its “unlawful presence” in the “occupied” territory. For those not well versed in international law, an “occupation” legally can only exist on the territory of a nation-state party to the Geneva Conventions, which the Palestinians are not. But with U.N. resolutions, and recognition by 146 nations of a Palestinian “state”, the world is laying the groundwork for such twisted, yet globally recognized principles. Increasingly, the world’s moral compass is not based on who is a terrorist and who is not, who is indigenous and who is not, but the U.N.’s skewed and anti-Semitic version of international law, dictated by an anti-Semitic plurality, soon a majority.

Many Jews see the world as always-was and always-will-be anti-Semitic. After all, in 1944, the Red Cross inspected Auschwitz and supposedly found no evidence it was an extermination camp. However, the world’s moral compass today is increasingly dictated by the United Nations, which is increasingly building a clear and precise body of international law and directives against Israel’s very right of self-defense. While what Hitler did was illegal and immoral, today, weakening Israel is increasingly viewed as legitimate under international law. This is unsustainable. Even if Israel ignores it, the rest of the world cannot forever ignore this ever-tightening noose. Without a new tool for answering these outstanding moral questions, the world’s moral perspective is increasingly anti-Israel, plus or minus the United States.

Is it too late to explain to the world the difference between a democracy and a republic? In a democracy, 57 wolves and one lamb vote on what’s for dinner, whereas a republic would protect the rights of the indigenous minority Jewish people.

The current Middle East

The October 7th War started a month after the U.S. announced it would release $6 Billion to Iran for five hostages in September 2023. Since, the U.S. has been engaged in secret negotiations with Iran, including seeking to return to the JCPOA “Iran nuclear deal” first entered into under President Obama, which would allow Iran material for up to ten nuclear weapons. This modus operandi, including the U.S. exchanging billions of dollars for release of a handful of hostages low-key, was also “invented” under Obama, then repeated under the Biden/Harris Administration. This Administration began operating with significantly Obama Administration White House staff, with Biden and Obama reportedly-regularly conversing.

The path to “war” is the breaking down of the systems that maintain peace, including treaties, customs, relationships, laws, norms, and practices, until the parties have no option left but all-out destruction of the other. Here are some examples.

Israel and Iran are now directly striking each other; Iran striking Israel with hundreds of missiles in March, and Israel with its symbolic retaliatory strike on an S300 air defense system in Iran. Symbolic, because Biden threatened Israel with “you’re on your own” if Israel do more. Despite that the symbolic attack didn’t work, after Iran directly struck Israeli air bases with over 100 high-speed missiles on October 1, the Biden/Harris Administration again demanded Israel not strike Iran’s nuclear program. God forbid, right?

Iran recently supplied Russia with close range ballistic missiles (CRBMs), but withheld the launchers to blackmail Russia further. Russia, in response, supplied Iran with its latest and most advanced S400 air defense system, impliedly with Russian troops assisting. Russia may also be in the process of delivering Russian MI-28H attack helicopters to Iran, as well as licensing Iran building SU-35 fighter jets. The hope was that Israel would not dare strike such a missile defense system and risk killing Russian troops. Of course, without striking the missile defense system first, Israeli planes attacking Iran would be vulnerable. Russia’s threat was suggesting that Israel striking Iranian air defense risks introducing Russia into the conflict as a possible 7th front.

On October 26th, Israel called Russia’s bluff, and struck Iranian air defense sites in Iraq and Syria on the way to Iran and inside Iran, destroying both S300 and S400s sites.

After Israel had been previously neutral in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Israel has now deployed the Israeli Tzeva Odom (“Code Red”) early warning system to help Ukraine, threatening to worsening relations with Russia. Russia has so far refused to help Netanyahu, and the two have not officially spoken in nearly a year, when Netanyahu told Putin that siding with Iran would be a mistake. That is in sharp contrast from warm Israeli-Russian relations a couple of years ago, when Putin referred to Israel as a “Russian-speaking country” with over a million Russians in Israel. Or even June, when the U.S. and fourteen other countries voted in the Security Council for a ceasefire by Israel in U.N.S.C. Resolution 2735, and Russia was the only country of fifteen that abstained, sending a pro-Israel message.

Now, Russia is giving Hoothi rebels in Yemen satellite data to be able to attack ships on the Red Sea, and warned Iran in advance of Israel’s imminent October 26th attack, showing that Russia is deeply involving itself in the conflict for Iran against Israel. Without a solution, this is likely to increase, the concern being, at some point, Israel and Russia directly exchanging blows.

The United States reciprocated the escalation, if only symbolically, sending the THAAD missile defense system to Israel on October 14th with approximately 100 U.S. troops operating it. Likewise, the message being that neither Iran nor Russia would be able to strike these missile defense systems without killing U.S. soldiers on the ground in Israel. The U.S. has since increased its strategic forces in the Middle East, including with heavy bombers.

In response to Israel’s strike on Iran in March, Iranian officials days later met with both Pakistani and North Korean officials for nuclear program advancement talks. The Ayatollah reportedly said he wants an Iranian nuclear bomb before the American election.

After Israel assassinated Hamas head Haniyeh in Tehran, a news story was reported then deleted (nor retracted, but deleted) that the U.S. gave Iran the secret location of Mossad agents in Iraq who helped carry out the mission. If true, Iran did not retaliate directly against Israel’s territory in response to Haniyeh’s killing, but instead allegedly struck secret Mossad safe houses in Iraq, killing those Israeli operatives. Whether true or not, it is no wonder Israel did not trust the U.S. enough to inform of the planned killing of Nasrallah. When Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin found out after the fact, he reportedly also asked Galant if Israel wanted to be alone in this conflict.

For Ramadan, the U.S. voted in favor of the U.N. Security Council Resolution 2735 calling for a ceasefire, not long after Barack Obama traveled to the U.K. to meet with Prime Minister Sunak, with the U.K. also having veto power over such resolutions.

Lebanon, Turkey, and many others have warned that an Israel-Iran conflict could lead to World War Three, while Russia threatens on a nearly daily basis that its war with NATO is turning into World War Three.

This whole Middle East war is largely because Obama secretly pushed for, and then deceptively abstained from, U.N. Security Council Resolution 2334 in December 2016, causing the Resolution to pass. Obama did this on his way out of office with nothing to gain, stunning the U.S.’s own intelligence community as completely contrary to long-standing U.S. policy, and revealing his true, hidden ideology. Attorney Alan Dershowitz said Obama “stabbed Israel in the back.” Resolution 2334 essentially says Israel is an illegal occupier, including in Jerusalem, as binding international law, and legally and morally justifies the current efforts against Israel uniting much of the world, from terrorists to over 100 nations.

Yes, under Obama, we saw a distinct pattern of billions of dollars flowing to Iran under suspicious excuses like freeing a few hostages, advancement of Iran’s nuclear program, opposition to pro-Iranian democracy like in 2009, hostility to long-time ally Saudi Arabia, wars against Israel, U.S. support for U.N. Security Council resolutions against Israel, and expansion of Islamic extremism like Hamas, Hezbollah, and ISIS - a pattern repeated under Biden, in case you are keeping up.

Remember when Obama was caught shipping pallets of cash to Iran in the middle of the night but it was not as big a deal as Trump’s bookkeeping error? Not only is this pattern consistently suspicious, but often in done in attempted secrecy and to the complete surprise of even U.S. policymakers and intelligence. To suggest this pattern has anything to do with a hidden persona agenda, because of Obama’s father being Shiite, would be paranoia, unless of course it’s true.

On October 5th, there was a 4.3 earthquake in Semnan Province in northern Iran, which some believe to be an underground nuclear test by an already nuclear-armed Iran. They were no aftershocks, nor other indicators of a naturally-occurring tremor.

On October 7th, the White House attempted to dismiss such suspicions as CIA Chief William Burns announced it does not believe Iran is rushing to build a bomb, directly breaking with Israeli intelligence officials who believe Iran is weeks away (if not already possessing and testing its nuclear capability). As of October 26th, it has been reported that Iran wants to do a fully-public nuclear test.

The rest of the world is likewise sliding right towards war.

North Korea sent up to 10,000 North Korean troops to fight for Russia in the Ukraine War. Chairman of the intelligence Committee Mike Turner reportedly already said the U.S. and NATO should attack North Korean troops in Ukraine. And if we do, why wouldn’t North Korea retaliate elsewhere? This would means NATO is effectively at war with North Korea, if not the U.S. directly.

China forced Japan to scramble jets in late August in response to Chinese intelligence aircraft invading its airspace.

U.S. military bases, including Langley Air Force Base, have been visited by unidentified drones, perhaps unrelated to China buying up land near many U.S. military installations.

Chinese warships have made repeat test runs toward Taiwan, and with Taiwan resistant to arming its citizenry, China may intend to invade Taiwan as soon as the world presents an apparent opportunity. 

China told its army to prepare for imminent global conflict.

Poland has asked the U.S. for permission to shoot down Russian missiles over Ukraine.

The U.S.’s nuclear alert defense condition “Def-Con” is believed by experts to be at 3, with 5 being peace and 1 being nuclear war, since 2022.

Now, Iran has begun moving its strategic missiles to Western Iran for striking Israel.

The Ukraine War is continually escalating.

On October 17th, Ukraine announced it could have its own nuclear weapon in a matter of weeks with materials from the former Soviet Union, and current know-how. It was also leaked in a German newspaper that NATO planned to give nuclear weapons to Ukraine. The 1994 Budapest Memorandum agreement said Russia would not invade Ukraine if Ukraine did not seek such weapons, so Zelensky implied the deal Russia violated is off. Russia called this posture a “dangerous act of provocation,”that Russia would under no circumstances allow, and you know what that means.

Ukraine is simultaneously blackmailing NATO that if it doesn’t add Ukraine as a member, which NATO is considering, it will seek nuclear weapons. If NATO does add Ukraine, experts say that will also lead to WW3, as also absolutely unacceptable to Russia. Of course, it is very much in Ukraine’s interest for the conflict to expand and NATO to join in to ease its burden.

Ukraine has long-range British Storm Shadow missiles and U.S. missiles, and has permission from Britain, if not the U.S. also, to strike deep inside Russia. With these and its fleet of long-range drones, Ukraine now has the ability to heavily strike Moscow, which is Putin’s red line. Ukraine thinks that striking the Kremlin will teach Putin a lesson and force him to withdraw, but Putin will likely only escalate further upon such an escalation.

If you remember how we got here, Barack Obama, since he was senator, pushed for adding Ukraine to NATO, issuing a statement January 28, 2008, as Senator Obama, "I welcome the decision by President Viktor Yushchenko, Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, and Parliament Chairman Arseny Yatsenyuk to declare Ukraine's readiness to advance a Membership Action Plan (MAP) with NATO.” Biden has recently come out and blamed the Ukraine War on Obama.

December 15, 2021, Putin drafted and pushed for a joint U.S.-Russia security agreement, based on peace in exchange for no NATO enlargement. The Biden/Harris/Obama Administration turned it down. Weeks after the Ukraine war started in 2022, Putin and Zelensky reached a deal in Istanbul, and the U.S. again sent British PM Boris Johnson to quash the deal so the war could continue.

Back to the Middle East.

Yemen just informed Iran it has 400,000 troops ready to attack Israel.

It barely makes the news that Turkey fired on Kurdish targets in Iraq and Syria, and Turkey has also expressed willingness to join in the fight against Israel, having also miraculously resolved its differences with Iran and joined forces.

Saudi Arabia and other Arab states that helped Israel fend off Iran’s first missile barrage in March have now declared neutrality under a peace deal brokered by China on one hand and a threat from Iran on the other. Some peace deal. This, despite that after Israel, they would be next, as Iran has said Mecca and Medina should be under its Shiite control, which may be Obama’s goal as well. Now, Saudi Arabia and Iran are engaging in joint military exercises in the Red Sea, while Iran is also in military exercises with Russia. One must wonder if Putin understands how vulnerable it is to being drawn into a nuclear war, especially if such were intentional.

Britain and France have cut off arms to Israel, along with most other nations, and Ireland is planning to suspend trade with Israel. The United Nations and it bodies stand almost entirely against Israel, with 146 nations recognizing a Palestinian “state”, which would only serve to bring Arab armies closer to Jerusalem to attack Israel from.

On Shabbat morning, October 19, an Iranian assassin drone invaded Israeli airspace, and struck Prime Minister Netanyahu’s personal residence in Haifa in an attempt to assassinate him.

Netanyahu said, a few days later, during a speech to the Israeli Knesset, that “Iran is striving to develop a stockpile of nuclear bombs to destroy us, equipped with long-range missiles, intercontinental missiles that Iran is trying to develop."

Russia has expanded the BRICS economic cooperation to over 20 nations, including the “state of Palestine”, making sanctions, a favorite American persuasive tool to avoid military action, largely ineffective. BRICS is also putting together its own currency to try to remove the dollar from its status as the world’s global reserve currency. As of October, many European, NATO countries buying gas from Russia are paying in Rubles, not dollars. With the unprecedented military cooperation between Russia, North Korea, Iran and China, and BRICS, soon everyone will have nukes.

India, which has its own border disputes with China, just magically resolved them also, and is strengthening ties, military and economic, with Russia. Despite that Islamic extremism as well as its border problems with Pakistan are serious concerns to India, it has somehow aligned with Russia, and not with the Western values it shares. On October 30, the U.S. announced sanctions on nearly 400 companies, including nineteen Indian companies for assisting Russia in the war with Ukraine. Why it’s better to divide with India’s billion people instead of making a deal with them is beyond me. One would have to be at the worst negotiator in the world to take this position.

While Ayatollah Khomeini is said to be ill, his son is being prepped to take over. Even the Ayatollah being out of the picture would not resolve the proxy war without regime change in Iran. Freedom for the Iranian people and reduced proxy wars across the Middle East would be welcome, but likely not solve the still-growing underlying problem.

The world has nobody at the helm, and most of the players only know one word: escalation.

The American election will decide the fate of humanity.

The Biden/Harris/Obama Administration shows absolutely no interest in even trying to resolve either of two, deepening, spreading, and increasingly global wars that could each become WW3 literally any day. Nor do they have any idea how to do so if they wanted to. Kamala even said that as president, she would have no bilateral talks with Putin. Because why end the escalating global conflict, right?

As of today, neither Biden nor Harris have even made a phone call to Putin to try to resolve the Ukraine conflict over the past two years, and NATO is unlikely to resolve it without the U.S. lead.

If the Administration were intentionally seeking a steady escalation to World War Three, it could hardly be doing better.  

Kamala Harris was dropped into the U.S. Democratic nomination last minute, with Obama withholding support until they met and made a deal. Obama was reportedly on the phone with major news networks during the Biden-Trump debate, the hour the competency narrative on Biden changed 180-degrees. Of course, Biden also won his party’s nomination in 2020 because three Democratic candidates mysteriously dropped out days before super-Tuesday, two of them endorsing Biden, and there’s only one person with the pull and motive to arrange that.

Obama spoke to Biden regularly during his entire term, and it is Obama’s foreign policy we are seeing unfold on the world stage. Malik Obama, Barack’s half brother, said in mid-October that Obama is still running the country and will play a big role in a Kamala Administration. If there’s anything worse than Obama’s foreign policy, it’s Obama’s foreign policy minus the accountability. If you remember, Obama walked with Abbas in Ramallah without Secret Service protection, but demanded U.S. servicemen’s rifles be disabled in U.S. ceremonies.

Now, Obama is largely running Kamala’s (suddenly called) “turn the page” campaign, a phrase Obama is also using profusely in his campaign speeches supporting her. But Obama is not using the phrase “turn the page” because he is secretly a poet. “Turn the page”, is a hypnotic suggestion he is using in a technique called conversational hypnosis. We literally turn pages as we read unconsciously without thinking, and Obama is anchoring American’s election vote to such unconscious action by using the phrase in his speeches. That’s the state of politics today. Trump won’t quit after two impeachments, four prosecutions, and two assassination attempts, while Kamala is parroting his “turn the page” phrase as instructed. Kamala has now begun to call Trump a “fascist”, not speaking to undecided moderates, but hoping to provoke another assassination attempt.

Yet, nearly 60% of American Jews have no clue, and Netanyahu is too diplomatic to both American political parties to warn American Jews of what is happening. Most American Jews not grounded in religious values or having escaped from communism have been voting Democrat for decades, and don’t understand that their Party is now only pretending. They emphatically trust the mainstream media that tells them none of this. Rather, the increasing wars against Israel under Democrat Administrations are a coincidence, and so was the peace under Trump.

After the removal of Sinwar on October 17th, Kamala Harris immediately called for an end to the war, and the Biden/Harris Administration has threatened to cut off aid to Israel in 30 days, with the election 20 days away. When that didn’t stop Israel, U.S. Secretary of State Blinken went in person on October 23rd.

It’s no surprise that Israel does not trust the current U.S. Administration. On October 20, it was revealed that Israel’s plans to attack Iran, and apparently U.S. satellite intelligence on Israeli bases, in the possession of the U.S. as classified documents marked Top Secret, were leaked on an Iranian-linked Telegram account. Some believe the leak may have been intentional, to prevent an Israeli strike on Iran before the election. The reportedly alleged culprit, a highly-ranked U.S. intelligence operative under Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, was brought in by another suspected Iranian agent himself brought in under the Obama Administration, of course. Congressmen had written of their concerns regarding this individual to Lloyd Austin in 2023, but apparently disregarded.

What happens next?

If Trump does not win the election, on this current path, both the Ukraine and Middle East wars will continue to escalate for the next four years, per the best-case scenario.

A worse scenario is that the U.S. under Harris/Obama leadership is farther ideologically Left than it shows publicly, and will turn sharply against Israel after America has voted. As Obama was caught on a hot microphone saying to Russian President Medvedev in 2012, he’ll have “more flexibility after the election”, this time, regarding Israel.

If that is the case and Harris wins, the new Administration drops Biden - the last inside voice of old-school, pro-Israel Democratic reason. Despite Netanyahu’s belief that Israel is a necessary ally to the U.S., the U.S. under this new Leftist leadership will increasingly abandon and work against Israel unless it withdraws from Gaza. The U.S. will make further demands of Israel, demanding borders open to bring Palestinians aid, resources, personnel, and with them, increasing arms, starting with Blinken’s $134 million dollar aid package of October 23rd. The U.S. will increasingly threaten to recognize a Palestinian state, as it has already threatened Israel it would during this war.

With the U.S. publicly restricting Israel’s weapon’s supplies and threatening Israel, Iran, its proxies, and soon others will smell weakness and increasingly attack Israel.

Israel will eventually be in a position where it must cross a U.S.-drawn red line to defend itself and run out of weapons including for its missile defense systems. Today, Israel is significantly more isolated legally, morally, and diplomatically than ‘48, ‘67, and ‘73. Sending arms to Israel is arguably soon approaching illegal under international law.

Israel’s enemies know it cannot continue a sustained fight on seven or more fronts indefinitely, and Israel’s enemies will then, united, ratchet up fighting on existing fronts, and open new fronts. In this apparent catch-22, either Israel submits to demands for a Palestinian state that brings in military resources to launch the final attack against Israel from inside, or Israel is overwhelmed from externally.

Eventually as escalations continue, nuclear strikes will be resorted to, whether first by Middle East players, or Ukraine and Russia War players.

From there, things will spiral completely out of control, draw in the U.S., Russia, and China. The Russians and Chinese have no clue what’s really going on, or else they would be allies.

And what does Obama really want?

Best case scenario, he is just far-Left and has merely a far-Left agenda; Palestinian state, weakened United States, and borderless Europe, as examples, with a fairly-strong influence on the Harris Administration.

A worse case is, he has a hidden personal agenda of a nuclear-Shiite-led rebalancing of the world. He has indicated by his actions, and by words calling ISIS the “JV Squad”, that he would support an Islamic caliphate in the Middle East. Not only did ISIS rise under his presidency, which Trump destroyed the territory of in a matter of weeks. Obama is one of the only people who called ISIS (“Islamic state of Iraq and Syria”) by the name “ISIL” (“Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant”); the peculiar difference being, "the Levant” includes the territory that is Israel.

The absolute worst case scenario?

Maybe ask him why any American former president would co-produce a frighteningly-creepy Netflix movie “Leave the World Behind”, that has a scene with flyers falling with “Death to America” written on it in Arabic, and New York being bombed. Film director Sam Esmail said Obama gave him notes for the film that “sacred the f*** out of him.” A bit unusual for an American ex-president’s creative ambitions. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leave_the_World_Behind_(film)

The worst case scenario is that Obama may conceal a secret, messianic agenda, for which Israel and the U.S. are merely his tools. The movie “Leave the World Behind” apparently contains a hidden message at the end. It ends with a bizarrely-unrelated scene to the plot, where the girl character inexplicably wants to watch a specific TV show “Friends” episode, and turns on the television to watch Season 10 Episode 18, the episode titled “The Last One”. If not a coincidence, in the Bible, Luke 10:18, says, “I saw Satan fall like lightning from heaven”, sounds like בָּרָק“Barak” meaning lightning and בָּמָה “Bamah” meaning height. The passage refers to the anti-Christ who brings armageddon, whom Obama may believe himself to be. Try telling yourself it’s just a coincidence, if it helps, but remember, it’s not whether it’s true, but whether he believes it’s true.

Why the movie warning? Obama loved fooling audiences by covertly sticking up his middle finger when mentioning political opponents, like John McCain and Hillary Clinton (click link for video), feeling smarter than everyone, apparently part of a well-hidden narcissistic personality disorder. So no, it wasn’t accidental that he was treated as the messiah by the American Left media. Maybe the death of his personal chef a few months ago wasn’t either.

For those who have had enough of this Dr. Jekyll / Mr. Hyde U.S. policy towards Israel…

Trump, anyone?

With Trump, we likely all dodge a bullet.